美国或再次令欧佩克减产干预陷入两难风筒

中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯12月19日消息，战略与国际问题研究中心的Andrew Stanley 称，美国今年的原油产量将创下最大年度增量，从而将再度令欧佩克陷入与2014年时一样的两难境地。如果美国本月原油产量能与11月持平，该国今年的日产量将较2017年增加150万桶。在2014年油价崩盘后，欧佩克的每次减产干预总是被视为有利于美国增加产量。虽然Stanley表示美国基准油价的下跌或导致明年上半年美国石油生产商的活动放缓，但他也指出，到二叠纪产能瓶颈缓解时，预计中的市场供应吃紧或为美国石油供应量的进一步意外增长打开大门。

唐绍红 摘译自 道琼斯

原文如下：

DJ US to Recreate Dilemma for OPEC's Intervention

US oil production is set to notch its largest annual gain this year, recreating 沙滩家具a dilemma for OPEC similar火车模型 to 2014, says Andrew Stanley 进口水of the Center for Strategic and International Studies. If this month's output matched November's, then America will have produced 1.5 million barrels/day more this year than in 2017. In the wake of the 2014 oil-price crash, any OPEC intervention was always seen as enabling greater US output. While Stanley says a decline in US benchmark prices will likely lead to a tapering of US producer activity in 1H, he notes that projected market tightening by that time--when Permian capacity constraints are set to ease--may reopen the door for further US supply surprises.